Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.635285 0.705924 0.782412 0.871586 0.972948 1.084866 1.218190
2025-08-10 0.525107 0.622549 0.736426 0.880214 1.058151 1.272710 1.553405
2025-08-17 0.449246 0.555439 0.685899 0.859633 1.087445 1.379509 1.788000
2025-08-24 0.407566 0.521415 0.667123 0.869951 1.149241 1.526648 2.086265
2025-08-31 0.369565 0.486298 0.640854 0.864149 1.184675 1.637905 2.345260
2025-09-07 0.341926 0.461304 0.624220 0.867611 1.230476 1.765501 2.641519
2025-09-14 0.313591 0.432218 0.598379 0.853947 1.247840 1.850572 2.880902
2025-09-21 0.290529 0.408306 0.577252 0.844171 1.268480 1.940805 3.138216
2025-09-28 0.264265 0.377483 0.543163 0.810921 1.247914 1.961396 3.278191
2025-10-05 0.254263 0.369879 0.542911 0.829826 1.312375 2.127929 3.696934
2025-10-12 0.244232 0.361326 0.540261 0.844175 1.370005 2.288396 4.127324
2025-10-19 0.233999 0.351614 0.534851 0.853116 1.418640 2.437613 4.557705
2025-10-26 0.223016 0.340188 0.526181 0.856370 1.458643 2.577876 4.997854
2025-11-02 0.213822 0.331021 0.520526 0.864331 1.508079 2.742266 5.517587
2025-11-09 0.200283 0.313797 0.500119 0.844196 1.502483 2.797586 5.807223
2025-11-16 0.193248 0.306909 0.496680 0.854296 1.555637 2.977372 6.410880
2025-11-23 0.184144 0.295914 0.485314 0.848617 1.576818 3.092763 6.882373
2025-11-30 0.177213 0.288191 0.479107 0.852006 1.616380 3.252010 7.491121
2025-12-07 0.168257 0.276404 0.464842 0.838630 1.619697 3.331249 7.909055
2025-12-14 0.160519 0.266324 0.453021 0.829060 1.630014 3.427449 8.390536
2025-12-21 0.150112 0.250930 0.430532 0.796506 1.587485 3.395267 8.511429
2025-12-28 0.147317 0.249119 0.433167 0.815015 1.659309 3.645094 9.488676
2026-01-04 0.144071 0.246284 0.433652 0.829063 1.722483 3.882379 10.483271